The first attacks based on the CBO report on Obamacare and workers
As if recognizing that fellow Republicans were getting a bit overheated, Rep. Paul Ryan of Wisconsin, House Budget Committee chairman, introduced a reality check when questioning Douglas Elmendorf, budget office director, during a hearing Wednesday. “So just to understand this, it’s not that employers are laying people off, it’s that … people aren’t working in the workforce, aren’t supplying labor,” he posited. “That is right,” Elmendorf replied. A look at some of the Republican claims and how they compare with the facts: SEN.
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As we noted, because the estimate of hours is a mix of full-time and part-time work, there is no 1:1 relationship between the reduction in full-time equivalent workers and the fewer jobs that will exist in the economy. The table does not make any firm claims that a state will lose x or y number of jobs, said Ryan Ellis, ATRs tax policy director. Rather, it points out what may happen based on that states participation in the national labor pool. As you point out, the state-by-state results are likely to vary from this, but this is the starting point for research. He defended the cost jobs language, saying: We would say that if a person chooses not to work because Obamacare has made their working a prohibitive financial choice for them, then thats a job killed by Obamacare. The Pinocchio Test We are going to excuse the NRSC from the Pinocchio Test, because it is clear they tried hard, within the confines of a news release, to accurately describe the CBO report. The poison root was the ATR analysis, with its misleading headline. Both the Tillis campaign and ATR fall into the trap of saying a specific number of jobs will be lost. This is not what CBO said, as made clear by Elemendorfs testimony. For non-economists, the use of the phrase jobs is especially confusing because it sounds like the decision made by employers, rather than workers.
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